Bad news. Zogby has Kerry winning the election in November. Problem: of all the pollsters, Zogby is way out in the lead for accuracy, usually within 2% or 3%. Yeah, he occasionally gets one wrong, but that is by and large an exception when he does. Its rare. I believe he has been dead-on for all major elections he has published polls for. He only polls people that actually vote.<br /><br />Kerry wins for four reasons:<br /><br />1- Right now, Kerry is leading 47% to 44% among people that actually vote.<br /><br /> * Kerry is lead by 17% in the states that voted Gore in 2000.<br /> * Bush is leading by 10% in the states that voted for him in 2000.<br /><br />2- There are very few undecided voters. This is unusual 6-months before a major election.<br /><br />3- The top three issues for people that actually vote:<br /><br /> * The most important issue the economy Kerry 54% to Bush 35%.<br /> * The second most important issue the war in Iraq Kerry 57% to Bush 36%.<br /> * The issue with third priority war on terrorism Kerry 30% to Bush 64%.<br /><br />4- Kerry is a good closer. He campaigns from behind and finishes strong in the last couple weeks before an election.<br /><br />Concluded Zogby: " We are unlikely to see any big bumps for either candidate because opinion is so polarized and, I believe, frozen in place. There are still six months to go and anything can still happen. But as of today, this race is John Kerry's to lose."<br /><br />--------<br /><br />You can read the whole story here:<br /><br /> http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=38424
<br />I think this new rating system is going to be more fun than I thought<br />Yea just heard it read on the radio a few minutes ago. 
