Weather forecasting is never 100% accurate, but over the years, I have learned to look back a couple states and see what is comming. Often I make my own forecast based on what might be several hundred or even a thousand miles away. My wife says I am more accurate than the local weather people. Just years of watching and following movements of weather patterns. Yes, there are a number of places on our planet that can create unusual weather issues, glad I don't live in those areas. I only have a 16' tinnie, so can't afford the gamble of a bad weather call. There have been many days I have left early and headed back in due to unusual weather conditions, that never turned into anything.....better to be safe than sorry !!