GA_Boater
Honorary Moderator Emeritus
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- May 24, 2011
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Saturday night we find out which 16 drivers qualify for the Chase. Coming into the race, all the drivers with a win are in and there are a few ways it can go to determine the remainder. Being lazy and written better than I can, here it is from Jayski's;
2015 Richmond Chase Clinch Scenarios:
Regardless of who wins at Richmond...
#1-Jamie McMurray clinches by starting the race.
#31-Ryan Newman clinches by finishing 31st or better; 32nd with at least one lap led; or 33rd with the most laps led.
#24-Jeff Gordon clinches by finishing 17th or better; 18th with at least one lap led; or 19th with the most laps led.
#27-Paul Menard clinches by finishing ninth or better; 10th with at least one lap led; or 11th with the most laps led.
If there is a repeat winner...
#1-Jamie McMurray, #31-Ryan Newman and #24-Jeff Gordon will clinch regardless of finish.
#27-Paul Menard clinches by finishing 38th or better; 39th with at least one lap led; or 40th with the most laps led.
#15-Clint Bowyer clinches by finishing 28th or better; 29th with at least one lap led; or 30th with the most laps led.
In summary...
Four drivers control their Chase destiny without a win: Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon and Paul Menard).
Three drivers can clinch without a win, but need help in the form of poor finishes from winless drivers ahead of them in points and/or a repeat winner: Bowyer, #43-Aric Almirola and #5-Kasey Kahne.
Twelve drivers need to win to clinch a Chase spot: #16-Greg Biffle, #42-Kyle Larson, #3-Austin Dillon, #47-AJ Allmendinger, #13-Casey Mears, #10-Danica Patrick, #14-Tony Stewart, #55-David Ragan, #9-Sam Hornish Jr., #6-Trevor Bayne, #17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and #51-Justin Allgaier.
Two other drivers need to win and get help to clinch a spot: #35-Cole Whitt and #38-David Gilliland.
All other drivers have been eliminated from Chase contention.
Along with the Cup race, we also have X-Men running. Trucks return next week at Chicago. Here's the schedule from MRN;
There 45 names on the entry list. The bubblers are Sorenson and Wise, who must qualify on speed. If qualifying is cancelled, Wise and McDowell will sit this one out.
Weather looks bad for Thursday, OK for Friday and Saturday evening has a high probability of precip.
News and Notes
iboats Fantasy Live
GA_B, The Humptser
2015 Richmond Chase Clinch Scenarios:
Regardless of who wins at Richmond...
#1-Jamie McMurray clinches by starting the race.
#31-Ryan Newman clinches by finishing 31st or better; 32nd with at least one lap led; or 33rd with the most laps led.
#24-Jeff Gordon clinches by finishing 17th or better; 18th with at least one lap led; or 19th with the most laps led.
#27-Paul Menard clinches by finishing ninth or better; 10th with at least one lap led; or 11th with the most laps led.
If there is a repeat winner...
#1-Jamie McMurray, #31-Ryan Newman and #24-Jeff Gordon will clinch regardless of finish.
#27-Paul Menard clinches by finishing 38th or better; 39th with at least one lap led; or 40th with the most laps led.
#15-Clint Bowyer clinches by finishing 28th or better; 29th with at least one lap led; or 30th with the most laps led.
In summary...
Four drivers control their Chase destiny without a win: Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon and Paul Menard).
Three drivers can clinch without a win, but need help in the form of poor finishes from winless drivers ahead of them in points and/or a repeat winner: Bowyer, #43-Aric Almirola and #5-Kasey Kahne.
Twelve drivers need to win to clinch a Chase spot: #16-Greg Biffle, #42-Kyle Larson, #3-Austin Dillon, #47-AJ Allmendinger, #13-Casey Mears, #10-Danica Patrick, #14-Tony Stewart, #55-David Ragan, #9-Sam Hornish Jr., #6-Trevor Bayne, #17-Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and #51-Justin Allgaier.
Two other drivers need to win and get help to clinch a spot: #35-Cole Whitt and #38-David Gilliland.
All other drivers have been eliminated from Chase contention.
Along with the Cup race, we also have X-Men running. Trucks return next week at Chicago. Here's the schedule from MRN;
There 45 names on the entry list. The bubblers are Sorenson and Wise, who must qualify on speed. If qualifying is cancelled, Wise and McDowell will sit this one out.
Weather looks bad for Thursday, OK for Friday and Saturday evening has a high probability of precip.
News and Notes
- Bowyers status for next year is very much up in the air. With the folding of MWR, it has been rumored that he would be going to Ganassi, HScott, SHR, HScott or RPM (?) - Sorta in that order. Right now he has no place to call home next year.
- Rule Changes - If a wheel comes off a car or ballast falls off, increased penalties. 4 race suspension for the crew chief, tire carrier and tire carrier if a wheel comes off. If ballast falls off, 4 races for the crew chief, car chief and head engineer.
- Inspection warnings from Darlington - Hamlin and Hill. X-Men had a few as well
- Well, Kyle Busch clinched a spot in the Chase after missing almost a third of the races, 11 of them. Very impressive with 4 wins, but in my opinion he shouldn't be there.
- Chase aero packages will be per the 2015 rules. No low or high downforce packages will be used during the 10 Chase races.
- Injury Report - A new category. Chip Ganassi fell off his bike Saturday and broke his collarbone. Denny Hamlin tore the ACL in his right knee Tuesday night while playing basketball. He will need off-season surgery, but the medicos have cleared him to drive the 11 remaining races.
- TV Ratings - Darlington drew the highest Labor Day ratings in 8 years. This was on broadcast TV, NBC. This weeks race, kind of an important race since it sets the final seedings for the Chase is back on cable, NBCSN. Bet ratings fall to match the dismal rating all the cable races have had this year.
iboats Fantasy Live
64osby avoided a Carlinton Stripe and got his 4th :first: of the season. Congrats, 64.
FlaCowboy is still leading the overall points with slightly less than a 400 point lead.
Get your picks and/or changes in before Saturday night. We only have 11 races to challenge Cowboy..................If we can. :smile:FlaCowboy is still leading the overall points with slightly less than a 400 point lead.
GA_B, The Humptser